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Robin G; further to your posts, I like the National Grid Status website where you can see the whole picture laid out like a classic control panel.
Do you happen to know of sites which track the status of power stations? The above site gave me a link to one for the nuclear plants but I have not found anything similar for gas and coal.
Just lately it looks to me as if coal's contribution has dropped. Presumably that is due to plants using up their hours and/or being retired due to obsolescence - it would be interesting to see some data.
We are possibly on the edge of the yawning "capacity gap" which Paul Homewood highlighted recently.

Jun 16, 2013 at 10:10 PM | Registered Commentermikeh

Wind is now down to 23MW (0.1%). Forecast error 1000%.

Jun 16, 2013 at 10:08 PM | Registered CommenterPhillip Bratby

Re: "Global Wind Day"

I understand there are people who enjoy "passing wind" but do we all have to be forced to celebrate??

Jun 16, 2013 at 10:03 PM | Registered CommenterSkiphil

Further to my last two posts, did anyone know that yesterday was Global Wind Day?

(And BTW wind's contribution is down to 0.06 GW - 0.2%.)

Jun 16, 2013 at 8:10 PM | Registered CommenterRobin Guenier

Further to my last post, there's a useful presentation of the components of UK power generation here. (And BTW wind's contribution is down to 0.08 GW.)

Jun 16, 2013 at 7:51 PM | Registered CommenterRobin Guenier

Currently our 4,500+ wind turbines are contributing only 0.11 GW to our 32.37 GW power demand - i.e. 0.3%. Fortunately it's Sunday evening and demand is low.

Jun 16, 2013 at 7:15 PM | Registered CommenterRobin Guenier

I've been thinking about the story from the Guardian that I mentioned below:


Climate activists join anti-capitalists in Canary Wharf's biggest protest

Now I've had time to reflect, I think this might be worse than I previously thought. The article mentions that Canary Wharf's biggest ever protest had around 200 people. Some of these people were from a mass movement called "Fuel Poverty Action". How big a threat to my selfish oil-funded needs are these people? What size of army is gathering to foil my awful emissions?

Perhaps I can calculate how many of these people there are.


Among the protesters were pensioners, children, people with disabilities, a brass band, musicians and a range of groups including Fuel Poverty Action, Disabled People Against Cuts, the Greater London Pensioners Association, No Dash for Gas and UK Uncut.

There were pensioners there. Also there was a group called the Greater London Pensioners Association. I can't assume that all the pensioners were from that group, but surely at least one of them must have been there to represent the Greater London Pensioners Association.

So that leaves only a potential 199 people in the FPA battalion.

Children. There were children there. I'm guessing that they might not have been there entirely voluntarily. I also assume that they probably aren't paid up members of Fuel Poverty Action. There must have been at least 2 children.

197 people.

People with disabilities were there. And a group called Disabled People Against Cuts were there. I will apply similar reasoning as that applied to the pensioners. At least one disabled person must be against Cuts.

196 people.

There was a brass band. This is tricky. Was the band made up of people from the disparate groups? A disabled tormbonist who hates Cuts? A pensioner with a trumpet from Greater London? I don't think this can be true. How could they have practised if they had converged from all these different groups? Maybe they were all from one group. Horn Players Against Oil, perhaps? I cannot tell.

There were also musicians there. These people are mentioned separately to the brass band. I'm not sure if that's a deliberate insult to the brass banders, but anyway, it doesn't help me with the maths.

There was at least one person there from No Dash for Gas. I'm going to assume that this person wasn't also representing Fuel Poverty Action. This may be a flawed assumption, but I'm going with it.

195 people.

Lastly we have at least one representative from UK Uncut. Is that an anti-Jewish thing? I don't know.

194 people.

According to my maths, Fuel Poverty Action may have amassed as many as 194 people at Canary Wharf in their fight against warmth.

Jun 16, 2013 at 7:08 PM | Unregistered CommenterJames Evans

I do hope the MSM pickup and publish Piers Letter. At least he has one high profile support in the London Mayor or so I believe !

Jun 16, 2013 at 6:43 PM | Unregistered CommenterRoss Lea

I asked the Met to invite me, over on discussion. I don't reckon my chances, but they must be better than those of Piers C getting in!

Jun 16, 2013 at 6:13 PM | Registered Commenterrhoda

Letter from Piers Corbyn to Met Office

John Hirst, Chief Executive (john.hirst@metoffice.gov.uk )
The Met Office,
FitzRoy Road,
Exeter,
Devon,
EX1 3PB

Dear Chief Executive

Met Office 'Summit' Tue 18 June on Unusual UK weather

Further to Press announcements** on this important meeting I am
writing to request you invite me and up to two or so associates from
WeatherAction long range weather & climate forecasters to contribute
at this event in order to answer the vital questions on the reasons
for these extreme economically damaging weather situations and to
reliably predict them in coming years and decades.

A Met Office spokesman said concerning this meeting: "We have seen a
run of unusual seasons in the UK and northern Europe, such as the cold
winter of 2010, last year's wet weather and the cold spring this
year." You may be aware that we at WeatherAction specifically
long-range predicted these and all the extreme wet Summers and extreme
cold (parts of) Winters since 2007 whereas standard approaches
generally gave forecasts which were the opposite [eg BBQ summers which
turned out as very floody and 'The end of snow in winter' by the end
of last decade whereas a run of snowy winters occurred].

I would explain in a short presentation:
1. The reasons for these unusual weather situations
2. Give a general forecast for UK (and N Hemisphere) climate and more
detailed weather event trends for the coming 25 to 30 years.
3. Explain how The Met Office could help develop more detail in such
Long Range forecasting and assist in producing reliable long range
forecasts for most countries in the world.
4. Give some specific forecasts of extreme, damaging, costly
events/situations coming later this year.
5. Explain how Met Office and WeatherAction co-operating could develop
10 day ahead forecasts of the reliability and skill of present Met
Office one day ahead forecasts.

If you think this can help serve the stated purpose of the meeting and
the Met Office Charter please get in touch.

Thank you

Piers Corbyn ARCS, MSc, FRAS, FRMetS
Director WeatherAction Long Range weather & Climate forecasters

Jun 16, 2013 at 5:50 PM | Registered CommenterPhillip Bratby

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