Click images for more details
A few sites I've stumbled across recently....
“It’s no secret that solar power is hot right now, with innovators and big name companies alike putting a great deal of time, money, and effort into improving these amazing sources of renewable energy. Still, the last thing you’d likely expect is for a new experimental array to literally light nearly 130 birds in mid-flight on fire.
And yet, that’s exactly what happened near Tonopah, Nevada last month during tests of the 110-megawatt Crescent Dunes Solar Energy Project.”
WUWT: Test at Tonopah solar project ignites hundreds of birds in mid-air
geoffchambers, I read and liked the SImpson's Paradox wiki but hadn't followed on to the Ecological Fallacy.Thanks for the tip.
The example discussing how rich US states vote Democrat and vice versa was fascinating. It does show that relative income and relative poverty seem to be a real thing. And it shows how to measure poverty as seen democratically without confounding it with purchasing power.
As Spock would say, Fascinating.
A good candidate to bullshiting prize of the year:http://www.cbsnews.com/news/did-climate-change-cause-the-syrian-civil-war/
Robert Christopher (Mar 3, 2015 at 2:48 PM)Your link on Simpson's Paradox blew the mind of this statistical ignoramus, particularly as it led to another link about the Ecological Fallacy. It wasn't what I expected, but it was equally enlightening.
Phillip Bratby, be fair. Planetary orbits are notoriously random whereas climate is simple... err I think that's the right way round.
But insurers, as long term investors, are also exposed to changes in public policy as this affects the investment side. One live risk right now is of insurers investing in assets that could be left ‘stranded’ by policy changes which limit the use of fossil fuels. As the world increasingly limits carbon emissions, and moves to alternative energy sources, investments in fossil fuels and related technologies – a growing financial market in recent decades – may take a huge hit. There are already a few specific examples of this having happened.
The Bank of England giving advice to Insurance investors passed on from DEFRA
Confronting the challenges of tomorrow’s world - speech by Paul Fisher
It all seems so obvious, and I am sure I knew it already, but it is reassuring to know that it has been given a name:Simpson's paradox
The examples are worth examining.
Phillip Bratby That might be an interesting watch, or would have been before they dumbed-down Horizon.
Has anyone else noticed how much they've dumbed-down Mastermind? In the days of Magnus Magnusson scores of high 30s were quite frequent. Now high 20s are unusual. This despite an additional time allowance of 25% for general knowledge questions. I can't decide if the question setters (Media Graduates?) think someone entering the BBC's flagship Quiz for individuals needs leading to the answer or if John Humphries likes the sound of his own voice and thinks he is the main reason people watch.
At least Delers agrees with me:Why the EU's plan to ban halogen light bulbs should make you blow a fuse, by JAMES DELINGPOLEhttp://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-2976692/Why-EU-s-plan-ban-halogen-light-bulbs-make-blow-fuse-JAMES-DELINGPOLE.html
We don't need to be educated or use our judgement. Just do as we are told.
Do you remember (article Nov 2012):Congress demands EPA’s secret email accountsEarlier this year he[, Mr. Horner,] his colleagues at the Competitive Enterprise Institute sued to demand the release of emails from “secondary” accounts from EPA, and cited a memo saying the practice began during the Clinton administration under then-administrator Carol Browner.“They’ve been moving government over to private email,” Mr. Horner told The Washington Times. “In the book, I reveal private servers the White House had universities and pressure groups set up so they can conduct discussions.”http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/nov/17/congress-demands-epas-secret-email-accounts/
Well, they weren't the only officials:Hillary Clinton 'used an unsecured personal email account for her four years as Secretary of State - and then her aides decided which correspondence to hand over for the public record' * Hillary Clinton 'used only personal email account to conduct business'* Did not acquire government address while Secretary of State, it is said* She also reportedly failed to record official correspondence at the time* Aides 'eventually handed over emails to State Department 2 months ago'* But even then, 'they chose which to release, handing over about 55,000'* Officials have deemed Mrs Clinton's use of a private account 'alarming'"Hillary Clinton used only a personal email address to conduct official government business during her four-year tenure as Secretary of State in a 'serious' breach of protocol, officials have claimed.The 67-year-old, also a former first lady of the United States, reportedly did not acquire nor use a government email account while serving in the position from January 2009 to February 2013.She also apparently failed to preserve her correspondence on the State Department's servers - something that is required of officials under the US Federal Records Act - until two months ago.And even then, her aides allegedly decided which of her tens of thousands of personal emails to hand over to the department in Washington DC's Harry S Truman Building for the public record.They ultimately chose to release 55,000 pages of correspondence, the New York Times reported."http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2976803/Hillary-Clinton-used-unsecured-personal-email-account-four-years-Secretary-State-aides-decided-correspondence-hand-public-record.html
Notify me of follow-up comments via email.