The Oz guide to climate change
Feb 16, 2015
Bishop Hill in Climate: Models, Climate: Surface, Climate: WG2, Royal Society

In the wake of the Royal Society's recent quick guide to climate change, the Australian Academy has produced their own newbies' guide which can be seen here.

It contains some interesting bits and bobs, for example this bit on extreme rainfall.

Heavy rainfall events have intensified over most land areas and will likely continue to do so, but changes are expected to vary by region.

Which makes an interesting contrast to the IPCC's view:

There are likely more land regions where the number of heavy precipitation events
has increased than where it has decreased. The frequency or intensity of heavy precipitation
events has likely increased in North America and Europe. In other continents, confidence in
changes in heavy precipitation events is at most medium.

I'm also amused by the handling of the pause:

Two main factors have contributed to the most recent period of slowed surface warming. First, decadal variability in the ocean-atmosphere system has redistributed heat in the ocean, especially in the eastern and central Pacific [85, 87, 88]. This has caused warming at depth and cooling of surface waters and the lower atmosphere in this region. Second, several temporary global cooling influences have come into play including unusually weak solar activity (Box 3.1, see page 15), increased aerosol production, and volcanic activity [95–98].
I love the way they present pure hypothesis as settled scientific fact. This technique really is such a giveaway that the document is propaganda rather than education.
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