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« Tim Barnett on the Hockey Stick | Main | Donna power - Josh 131 »

Climate Change Act Reconsidered part 3 - Josh 132

The last of the sketched notes are from the fascinating and stimulating questions and discussion time.

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    - Bishop Hill blog - Climate Change Act Reconsidered part 3 - Josh 132

Reader Comments (15)

Bish, your book is being discussed in the online blog of major Dutch newspaper Trouw:
The gist is a very favourable review with the main message being that the hockey stick story clearly shows corruption of science.

Dec 2, 2011 at 5:49 PM | Unregistered CommenterWijnand

Google translate of article:

In recent weeks a fascinating book read: The Hockey Stick Illusion of AW Montford. About how science itself is very unreliable and the climate change debate a great disservice.
Nearly 500 pages in English and mostly on statistics. No wonder you, though it has a half years ago appeared on the Dutch web is still very little about this book. But how unjust!

Andrew Montford is a British climate skeptic. So you'll know immediately which way the wind blows. But are The Hockey Stick Illusion is ultimately about something even more fundamental than the climate debate (or can not and I now have a wandering skeptic?). It is almost a detective about the science, the knowledge which we build our future. About science that brings itself into disrepute, which konkelefoest with politics, and critics do not see as much-needed control over their own work but as troublesome fools that bother you and you in your turn as much to thwart.

Those 500 pages to summarize here, of course, not in 30 or 100 lines. There are far too interesting. I will in the near future therefore sometimes come back. But let me briefly give you some crumbs might tempt Montford work yourself to hand. I report it to start but I'm not the only one who is enthusiastic. Too many (climate) scientist THSI encourages you to devour.

Perhaps an open door, but, the book takes its title from a graph of climatologist Michael Mann, in particular on the evolution of the temperature on earth in the last one thousand years. Which takes the form of a graph (ice) hockey: nine centuries of small deviations from a flat line from 1900 and then suddenly a sharp bend upward. The temperature increases from CO2 that humans since the industrial revolution into the air and it is now hotter than ever in the past one thousand years. That's what Mann and two colleagues on their chart to show, and that is what the UN organization Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) using Mann's hockey stick as hard as possible calls.

The hockey stick is the ultimate symbol for climate'alarmisten ': scientists and politicians. And meanwhile all climate skeptics. So it's the better that someone symbol thoroughly analyzed.
Montford was five years ago on the trail of the work of Steve McIntyre and Ross McKintrick. Especially the first began after the publication of the hockey stick in 1998, wondering how Mann had arrived at his chart. What data did he use and what statistical analysis he had to let go.
It was common knowledge that the climate since the year 1000 had seen a little ice age (circa 1600), and a warm period around 1300. Especially the disappearance of the medieval warm at Mann was striking, because now could be claimed that in one thousand years have not been as hot as just the most recent decades was the case.

Montford wrote in 2009 about the search of M & M 'Illusion', with the telling subtitle "Climategate and the Corruption of Science". Page after page shows how Montford McIntyre in his audit of Mann's findings are ignored, frustrated and denounced. Mann not only by himself and his associates in the climate debate, but also by scientific journals and ultimately the IPCC.

McIntyre and McKintrick get only with difficulty and after much time parts of dates on which Mann and others are based. Where knowledge and control in science is the standard, those are just desperately frustrated. The software for the statistical methodology used remains secret for years.
Many puzzles, and much help from the outside through McIntyres Climate Audit site gradually unravel M & M all the riddles. And every fall the reader from one surprise to another. Data prove unreliable, the calculation is no good, loud criticisms of it is first denied and then tacitly confirmed as stupid as the critic is put in the corner. If you make one after reading The Hockey Stick Illusion sure, that science is not as adept ought to be.

No, the book does not prove, and even claim that the earth is no warmer. The red line is the result of the hockey stick with thermometers registered temperatures. That line goes up.
But, oh, oh, what do Mann and his numerous followers and supporters of their own ideas and discipline a disservice. Without all their secrecy and would gekluns less skeptical opponents ammunition in the hands have been.

Next time in more detail about the problems that M & M have reached the surface.

Dec 2, 2011 at 5:54 PM | Unregistered CommenterWijnand

Well done Josh, humour is an excellent way to fight this nonsense. Particularly liked your Donna one. The BBC door reminded me a little of the cartoon by James Pickering which for me encapsulates much of how the funding works!!

Dec 2, 2011 at 6:10 PM | Unregistered CommenterMarion

Yeah, I would gekluns too!

Nice article.

Dec 2, 2011 at 6:10 PM | Registered CommenterJosh

Marion, lovely cartoon!

Dec 2, 2011 at 6:11 PM | Registered CommenterJosh

Sorry Josh about the OT'ness!
You rule and I love your toons!
All the best,

Dec 2, 2011 at 6:49 PM | Unregistered CommenterWijnand



Dec 2, 2011 at 6:51 PM | Registered CommenterBishop Hill

Yep, I can confirm that Wijnand is not making this up - even though my Dutch is a bit rusty.

Dec 2, 2011 at 6:58 PM | Unregistered CommenterRoger D.

If u want I can fix googletranslate crap into better english?

Dec 2, 2011 at 7:02 PM | Unregistered CommenterWijnand


If you'd like to do it, that would be great!


Dec 2, 2011 at 7:06 PM | Registered CommenterBishop Hill

Also worth noting is that the Tyndall Centre at UEA has issued a report opposing the exploitation of shale gas in the UK, saying that it might "risk jeopardising the UK’s international reputation on climate change."

It was obvious that the Green/Left would mobilise to try to squelch the notion of abundant home-grown energy -- now we know how they plan to do it.

Dec 3, 2011 at 2:43 AM | Unregistered CommenterRick Bradford

Marion & Josh,

Larry Pickering was/is one of Oz's greatest cartoonists, and it was a national tragedy that he decided to retire, although I hear he may be making a comeback. Can't come soon enough!

Dec 3, 2011 at 4:31 AM | Unregistered CommenterAllen Ford

Yep. Here's some Pickering that Aussies relate to.

Dec 3, 2011 at 6:56 AM | Unregistered CommenterGeoff Sherrington

There is a petition about wind turbines going. Started in Norfolk apparently but nationwide in scope.

Dec 3, 2011 at 6:36 PM | Unregistered Commentermichel

Nice cartoons depicting the truth we are witnessing about dramatic climate changes. In the last decade climate changes and their impacts have shocked the whole world. Pakistan, China, Japan and America are the most badly affected countries since now. We should aware each other about the recent climate changes and their possible impacts.

Dec 8, 2011 at 6:57 PM | Unregistered CommenterFaraz

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