Climate cuttings 59
Nov 22, 2011
Bishop Hill

Last time round I tried to highlight some of what had been found. Here is the Climategate II version of the same thing.

1428 BBC person approaches Hulme at Tyndall to discuss reinventing economics coverage

1038 Discussion of appointing Harrabin as adviser to Tyndall.

2495 Humphrey/DEFRA:  I can't overstate the HUGE amount of political interest in the project as a message that the Government can give on climate change to help them tell their story. They want the story to be a very strong one and don't want to be made to look foolish.

1885 Phil Jones struggles with Excel and statistics. Bob Ward offers to help with a rebuttal to David Whitehouse (GWPF)

3755.txt "It is really important that you don't just copy or reproduce any bits because it is not my proposal and it would be a court case in theory if a similarity was noticed." "but for GODS SAKE please respect the sensitivity here and destroy the file immediately when finished and please do not tell ANYBODY I sent this. Cheers Keith"

<1788> Jones: There shouldn’t be someone else at UEA with different views [from "recent extreme weather is due to global warming"] – at least not a climatologist.

<5111> Pollack: But it will be very difficult to make the MWP go away in Greenland.

<2733> Crowley: Phil, thanks for your thoughts – guarantee there will be no dirty laundry in the open.

<2095> Steig: He’s skeptical that the warming is as great as we show in East Antarctica — he thinks the “right” answer is more like our detrended results in the supplementary text. I cannot argue he is wrong.
 
<0953> Jones: This will reduce the 1940-1970 cooling in NH temps. Explaining the cooling with
sulphates won’t be quite as necessary.

<4944> Haimberger: It is interesting to see the lower tropospheric warming minimum in the tropics
in all three plots, which I cannot explain. I believe it is spurious but it is remarkably robust against my adjustment efforts.


<4165> Jones: what he [Zwiers] has done comes to a different conclusion than Caspar and Gene! I reckon this can be saved by careful wording

<0999> Hulme: My work is as Director of the national centre for climate change research, a job which requires me to translate my Christian belief about stewardship of God’s planet into research and action.

0810 Mann: I gave up on Judith Curry a while ago. I don’t know what she think’s she’s doing, but its not helping the cause

4184: Jones: [to Hansen] Keep up the good work! [...] Even though it’s been a mild winter in the UK, much of the rest of the world seems coolish – expected though given the  La Nina. Roll on the next El Nino!

5066: Hegerl: [IPCC AR5 models] So using the 20th c for tuning is just doing what some people have long suspected us of doing [...] and what the nonpublished diagram from NCAR showing correlation between aerosol forcing and sensitivity also suggested.

3755: “It is really important that you don’t just copy or reproduce any bits because it is not my proposal and it would be a court case in theory if a similarity was noticed.” “but for GODS SAKE please respect the sensitivity here and destroy the file immediately when finished and please do not tell ANYBODY I sent this. Cheers Keith”

0850: Barnett: [IPCC AR5 models] clearly, some tuning or very good luck involved. I doubt the modeling world will be able to get away with this much longer

3935: BBC's Roger Harrabin is on advisory board at Tyndall. This must have affected his independence re reporting of Climategate I.

2775: Jones (CRU) says choosing temperature records so as to show warming.

3373: Bradley says Mann/Jones GRL paper was truly pathetic and should never have been published. I don’t want to be associated with that 2000 year 'reconstruction'.

4443: Jones says climate models are wrong – not got enough middle and low level clouds.

1680 Mann discussed finding an investigative journalist to investigate and expose McIntyre 's connections with fossil fuel interests. Keenan too. Says they have to discredit the sceptics.

3791: Osborn says hopes Jones didn't delete emails asked for by sceptic because "that would be
illegal" - wonders if the request merely prompted him "to do a spring clean of various other emails".

1794 "Bishop Hill" described as blog "that spreads misinformation about climate science"

4241: Wilson: "I thought I’d play around with some randomly generated time-series and see if I could ‘reconstruct’ northern hemisphere temperatures. [...] The reconstructions clearly show a ‘hockey-stick’ trend. I guess this is precisely the phenomenon that Macintyre has been going on about." This shows that at least one mainstream climatologist knew the Hockey Stick was wrong and McIntyre was right.

4758: Osborn speaking of throwing out lots of tree ring data on the hide the decline series because it doesn't track temperature. Meanwhile they are criticising another clmiatologist for doing the same thing.

4369: Ed Cook say Mike (presumably Mann) is "defending something that increasingly can not be
defended". Presumably the Hockey Stick

5055: Cook criticising RegEm, a statistical method used in one of Mann's later papers.

1527 Wilson says McIntyre correct on verification statistics.

3757: Harrabin writes to UEA's Mike Hulme about a global broadcasting initiative.

4693 Crowley: I am not convinced that the “truth” is always worth reaching if it is at the
cost of damaged personal relationships

???? Jones (?) UEA does not hold the very vast majority of mine [potentially FOIable emails] anyway which I copied onto private storage after the completion of the IPCC task.

???? Jones: I’ve been told that IPCC is above national FOI Acts. One way to cover yourself and all those working in AR5 would be to delete all emails at the end of the process

1577: Jones: [FOI, temperature data] Any work we have done in the past is done on the back of the research grants we  get - and has to be well hidden. I've discussed this with the main funder (US  Dept of Energy) in the past and they are happy about not releasing the original  station data.

1682: What if climate change appears to be just mainly a multidecadal natural fluctuation? They’ll kill us probably [...]

5349: discussion of getting Lord May or Lord Oxburgh to deal with communication with industry. Kelly mentioned too.

<3655> Singer/WWF: we as an NGO working on climate policy need such a document pretty soon for the
public and for informed decision makers in order to get a) a debate started and b) in order to get into the media the context between climate extremes/desasters/costs and finally the link between weather extremes and energy

<1939> Thorne/MetO: Observations do not show rising temperatures throughout the tropical troposphere unless you accept one single study and approach and discount a wealth of others. This is just downright dangerous. We need to communicate the uncertainty and be honest. Phil, hopefully we can find time to discuss these further if necessary [...]

3969: "I've pointed everyone to the press release, and have chatted with only one person, a guy from the BBC. He seemed very informed and clever. The only point I didn't like was that he kept trying to get me to say what I think the skeptics will think - I kept telling him I don't know, but he obviously wanted more. Anyway, I hope you don't mind that I suggested he could chat with you if needed. His name and email are: Richard Black,"

0058 Briffa tells physics prof to delete email since it might become subject to FOI.

3890 refers to "sneaking papers into AR4 after the deadline". Doesn't make sense to me.

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